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Will the move to the ACC reawaken Stanford football? A season full of coast-to-coast road trips will determine that. For the time being, the depth of the Cardinal’s slumber is evident in the fact that visiting TCU is a 9-point favorite for the teams’ season opener in northern California on Friday night.
And this isn’t the Horned Frogs who went to the national championship game, which came at the end of the 2022 campaign. These Frogs are coming off a 5-7 record, and covered the spread three times in final eight games a year ago. Yet they remain a clear road favorite over a Stanford team coming off its third consecutive 3-9 season, and which covered just three of its final 11 games in 2023.
While Stanford last year recorded one of the season’s most memorable comebacks—rallying from 29-0 down at Colorado as 13-point underdogs—this was a team with one of the nation’s worst defenses. The Cardinal gave up 462 yards per game and suffered five losses by 33 or more points. Any hope of hanging with TCU hinges on an improved D, and toward that end Stanford added key transfers in tackle Clay Patterson from BYU and linebacker Jasiah Galvan from Northern Iowa.
TCU suffered four losses last season by a touchdown or less, showing how close it was to a very different campaign in Fort Worth. While 1,200-yard rusher Emani Bailey is off to the NFL, Josh Hoover returns behind center after passing for 15 scores and running for two more last year, and Savion Williams remains a standout receiver. The questions for the Frogs are on defense, where coach Sonny Dykes made a change in coordinator after the 2023 campaign. And yet, the Frogs still averaged 31 points and were in almost every game. Stanford has a ton of players returning, but still—those guys were awful last year.
This is Year 2 for Cardinal coach Troy Taylor, and the personnel hasn’t yet been elevated to a level that would make us comfortable taking Stanford against a very capable major-conference opponent, even at home.
TCU vs Stanford Week 1 Pick: TCU -9.0 (-110)
Despite allowing bushels of points, Stanford went OVER the total just five times last season thanks to an offense that squeezed out 20 points per game. Lots of those same players return for the Cardinal, though their best—tight end Benjamin Yurosek—bolted to Georgia. TCU went OVER just four times in 2023, largely due to turnovers. This one feels like a grinder in which the Frogs pull away in the end.
TCU vs Stanford Week 1 Pick: UNDER 61.5
TCU Vs stanford news
Cam Cook, the heir apparent to Bailey at running back for TCU, was limited late in fall camp due to a hamstring issue, according to the Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Dykes expected Cook, who carried the ball just 16 times last season, to be ready for the opener. The news was worse on starting cornerback Avery Helm, who according to reports is out indefinitely with an apparent knee injury.
Euro 2024 will be held in Germany from June 14 to July 14, 2024. We’re in the early stages of qualifications with no more than two games being played per side.
In total 24 will participate in the tournament, and 23 of those sides will come through the qualification process. As hosts, Germany automatically qualifies.
We’re a year out from one of soccer’s most important tournaments – and with lots of qualifying matches left to play – but let’s take an early look at the odds board and who’s favored to win.
Odds to Win 2024 Euro
Odds to win Euro 2024
Team
Odds
France
+500
Germany
+550
England
+600
Spain
+750
Portugal
+1000
Belgium
+1200
Italy
+1200
Netherlands
+1400
Denmark
+2000
Croatia
+3500
Odds as of June 13
Why Is France Favored to Win Euro 2024?
On an international level, the French are the second-best side. Les Bleus were runners-up at the 2022 World Cup. On that World Cup journey in Qatar, France took out some strong European opponents.
They bested Denmark 2-1 in the group stage (the Danish hold the ninth-best Euro odds), Poland in the Round of 16 by a score of 3-1 (Poland is at +5000 for Euro 2024) and then France dispatched the English 2-1 in the Quarter-Finals (England is third on Euro odds board).
Through the short qualification period, France is 2-0-0 with a +5 goal differential while keeping two clean sheets with wins over Ireland and the Netherlands.
Star power is another big factor to consider, and the Bleu-Blanc-Rouge have the biggest star of them all in Kylian Mbappe. The PSG forward has no flaws in his game and dominates at every level.
🇫🇷 Kylian Mbappe has only played in two World Cups in his illustrious career:
✅ 2018 World Cup: 👕 7 games ⚽️ 4 goals 🏆 Champions 🏅 Best YP
✅ 2022 World Cup: 👕 7 games ⚽️ 8 goals 🎯 2 assists 🥈 Runners-up 🥇 Golden Boot
— Sholy Nation Sports (@Sholynationsp) June 6, 2023
In Qatar, Mbappe scored the most goals (8), lead the tournament in goal-creating actions with 11 (five more than the next best-player) and was third for goal-creating actions per 90 (1.74). When it comes to unlocking a game there’s no better player in Europe or even the world than Mbappe.
Euro 2024 Value
France enters the tournament as slight favorites, what sides have greater value and have a chance to win instead of the favorites?
Germany
The hosts are just behind France on the oddsboard at +550. Because of their host status, we don’t have any sense of the form their in. They haven’t played any games because they don’t need to qualify.
If not for a shock 2-1 loss to Japan in the group stage of the 2022 World Cup, Germany would have likely gone much further. They bounced back from that defeat to the Blue Samurai with a 1-1 draw with a strong Spanish side before dismantling Costa Rica 4-2 to close out their tournament.
The Germans will hope that youngster Jamal Musiala builds off a strong World Cup where he was credited with 7.67 shot-creating actions per 90 and an even better 22-23 Bundesliga campaign where he scored 12 goals and had ten assists for Bayern in his 19-year-old season. The kid is only going to get much better.
England
The English are the top-ranked side in Group C of Euro qualifiers with wins over Ukraine (2-0) and Italy (2-1).
Gareth Southgate’s side is winning games they should (against Ukraine) and those where they’re second best (vs Italy). Against the Azzurri, England only had 42% of the possession and 42% of the shots, they even went down a man in the 80th minute thanks to a Luke Shaw red card and still won 2-1.
With Southgate’s contract over in December of 2024, this will likely be his final major tournament. His sides have come close to glory a few times but never won a title. Sadly for the three lions, their returns have been diminishing for the last few years.
England Under Southgate
Tournament
Finish
2018 World Cup
4th
2022 Wold Cup
6th
2020 Euro
Runner-Up
2019 UEFA Nations League
3rd
2021 UEFA Nations League
9th
2023 UEFA Nations League
15th
2024 Euro Dark horse
Every Euro tournament has its dark horse. A team comes out of nowhere and makes a deep run and upsets the landscape.
In 2020, that was the Swiss who finished third in Group A and made it to the Quarter-Finals after beating France in the Round of 16.
Who should you have your eyes on in 2024?
Netherlands
The Dutch are no strangers to this competition. They won it once in 1988 and placed third four times. That last third-place finish came in 2004.
At the 2022 World Cup, the Flying Dutchmen finished fourth with the third youngest squad in the competition. They had an average age of 26. Forward Cody Gakpo was a revelation with three goals in five matches for the Oranje in Qatar.
There’s a lot to like about Holland. At +1400, keep an eye on their qualifying.
Croatia
The Croatians are at the top of Group D with four points in two qualifiers. Remember, they finished as runners-up at the 2018 World Cup and then third in Qatar. Never discount Croatia at a major international tournament. With +3500 odds you could make $350 on a $10 bet backing them this early. That’s very tempting.
Last Five Euro Winners
Last 5 Euro Winners
Year
Team
Opening Odds
2004
Greece
+15000
2008
Spain
+450
2012
Spain
+250
2016
Portugal
+1800
2020
Italy
+700
Favorites typically win this tournament. They have deep squads overflowing with some of the most talented players in all of Europe. But every few years a dark horse goes all the way and is crowned Kings of Europe.
At +15000 Greece, and those who bet on them, haven’t yet forgotten about that tournament in 2004.
Last Five Euro Runners-Up
Last 5 Euro Runners-Up
Year
Team
Score
2004
Portugal
Lost 1-0 to Greece
2008
Germany
Lost 1-0 to Spain
2012
Italy
Lost 4-0 to Spain
2016
France
Lost 1-0 to Portugal*
2020
England
Lost 3-2 to Italy**
*After extra time **Game tied 1-1 after extra time, ended 3-2 in penalties
The Euro finals are a low-scoring affair. Over the last five tournaments, three or more goals have been scored only once. It’s worth exploring the UNDER when the Final comes up in July of 2024.
If you were to make a traditional straight-up bet, the favorite would be shown with the minus sign (-). In cases like these where there is no clear front-runner, the country with the lowest odds is the fave even if they’re all represented with the plus sign (+) which is generally used to demonstrate underdogs.
Let’s say you’ve looked at the group schedule and think Belgium is going to dominate and make it all the way to the top. A $100 bet would give you a payout of $650 – your original money is returned coupled with your winnings of $550.
Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will tell you how much you’d win based on the offered odds and amount bet.
What is a Futures Bet on the Euro Championship?
A futures bet is a wager made far in advance of a big event. Here, the bet is on the quadrennial Euro contest. It can be said that most bets are made prior to a sporting matchup, but futures can be placed weeks, months or even years in advance. In fact, as soon as the last championship is won, new odds will be released.
The odds will shift as the group stage gets closer and continue to move until right before the final is played on July 14, 2024, at the Olympiastadion in Berlin. If you see odds you like, take them to get the most value on your bets (should you win).